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What’s new? As Moldova has turned to the West following Russia’s all-out invasion of Ukraine, it has also toughened its approach toward two regions – breakaway Transnistria and autonomous Gagauzia – that have courted Russian support. With a presidential election and a referendum on EU membership approaching, Moldova’s divisions have deepened amid Russian meddling.
Why does it matter? Russia is interfering in the pre-vote process and fanning internal discord, as it seeks to foil Moldova’s EU aspirations and destabilise its politics with the goal of recapturing lost influence. Failure to address these issues could have implications for Moldova’s future stability.
What should be done? The Moldovan government’s heavy-handed treatment of Transnistria and Gagauzia has led to greater internal tensions and appears counterproductive. Moldova’s international partners, especially the EU, should encourage it to expand dialogue with Transnistria, and seek new channels of engagement with Gagauzia, with a view toward negotiating a settlement of long-running disputes.
21-8-24
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